Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 9.407095 10.760193 12.252136 14.021320 16.064839 18.354410 21.118785
2025-09-14 7.619267 9.384181 11.487665 14.187512 17.572638 21.691880 27.107878
2025-09-21 6.486841 8.418223 10.850793 14.155114 18.550892 24.231297 32.182671
2025-09-28 5.634129 7.627576 10.253411 13.989359 19.207305 26.293917 36.745371
2025-10-05 5.194467 7.299108 10.183249 14.458901 20.695732 29.552429 43.244802
2025-10-12 4.807383 6.982250 10.069410 14.817470 22.019121 32.666256 49.846709
2025-10-19 4.526589 6.776729 10.075726 15.324769 23.579654 36.250273 57.531913
2025-10-26 4.063386 6.246605 9.539465 14.937526 23.702383 37.610555 61.819939
2025-11-02 3.710655 5.847696 9.157743 14.738744 24.078497 39.373811 66.919241
2025-11-09 3.412521 5.504334 8.826160 14.577311 24.480360 41.190396 72.274451
2025-11-16 3.144176 5.183198 8.497903 14.381656 24.789860 42.857186 77.518530
2025-11-23 2.890788 4.863644 8.141953 14.099177 24.908676 44.182515 82.257224
2025-11-30 2.806129 4.826159 8.263376 14.670093 26.620833 48.561609 93.316289
2025-12-07 2.662307 4.672911 8.170082 14.844368 27.619116 51.722917 102.392205
2025-12-14 2.500567 4.473286 7.975859 14.810372 28.212981 54.163017 110.292271
2025-12-21 2.334326 4.251313 7.721558 14.636444 28.511998 56.045295 117.242167
2025-12-28 2.272537 4.217237 7.810085 15.129154 30.176751 60.822285 130.936258
2026-01-04 2.199497 4.155359 7.839715 15.505450 31.637134 65.322492 144.574375
2026-01-11 2.149505 4.133395 7.943154 16.037877 33.471972 70.797550 161.106683
2026-01-18 1.996841 3.897584 7.607505 15.631447 33.256772 71.802613 167.320856
2026-01-25 1.877993 3.720538 7.375667 15.422830 33.451390 73.730078 175.975850
2026-02-01 1.772451 3.562706 7.170738 15.253416 33.715035 75.835463 185.324100
2026-02-08 1.671419 3.406825 6.958053 15.048095 33.875583 77.713772 194.329656